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LeifCarrotson 2 days ago [-]
Reminds me of the opening to "Ministry for the Future" by Kim Stanley Robinson.
In that book, a wet bulb event (high humidity and high temp) in India pushes infrastructure past the breaking point, the grid goes down, AC systems still running on generators are overloaded and overcrowded and fail, the water temp goes over body temp, and millions die.
The positive cultural/societal reaction to the disaster strained my suspension of disbelief pretty hard, as is typical of KSR novels in my experience, but the idea of a heat wave causing a massive catastrophe (and the poignant description of attempting to live through it) stuck with me.
Lerc 2 days ago [-]
I don't believe I have heard of KSR before, but I have been telling my friends that an incident like this is in our (the world's) future.
It is feeling more and more imminent with each passing year.
And then there will be cries of nobody saw this coming.
athrowaway3z 1 days ago [-]
I believe the idea of a wet-bulb temperature event has reached just enough people that a "nobody saw it coming" would be very poorly received.
rayiner 2 days ago [-]
This is a weird premise. India (and Bangladesh) has virtually 100% access to electricity and adequate generation capacity. The concept of temperatures exceeding the wet bulb temperature makes for a scary fiction novel. But I bet even my dad’s village in Bangladesh could afford to put a few cheap Chinese mini splits in the school building and other gathering places. They are extremely efficient in the heat and wouldn’t cause a huge strain on the grid.
As the article notes, people certainly will and do die from such conditions. But it’s in the tens of thousands, not millions. And about 50,000 people a year die from heat waves in europe, too.
michaelhoney 2 days ago [-]
Problem with events like this is that they affect tens of thousands of people all at once. The first 1% of people will buy all of the available air conditioners. This happened in Australia in 2019: we had a huge bushfire with smoke affecting ~600K people. The available air filters sold out in hours.
throw0101a 21 hours ago [-]
> But I bet even my dad’s village in Bangladesh could afford to put a few cheap Chinese mini splits in the school building and other gathering places. They are extremely efficient in the heat and wouldn’t cause a huge strain on the grid.
Mini-splits have a maximum operating temperature in the 47-50˚C range.
The headline in this article seems to indicate some places have hit that limit, and so the external units (compressors) may not be able push the heat out of the refrigerant any longer.
esperent 1 days ago [-]
> virtually 100% access to electricity and adequate generation capacity
Tell that to all the brown- and black-outs I experienced while traveling there. Renting a room with AC was double the price, at least, abd then there wasn't enough electricity to power it. There frequently wasn't even enough to fully freeze icecubes in the freezer.
ant6n 2 days ago [-]
I was also going to mention wet bulb temperatures as well. As horrible as the conditions described in the article is, it describes a very dry heat. Which means sweating and water can still help.
The really scary thing will be when the wet bulb temperature goes above 35 degrees, and humans can only survive with AC.
For what it's worth they can live under ground [1][2], even build cities but they would have had to start that project some time ago. Before someone says it, yeah not everywhere and its not for everyone but in enough places and for enough people that we can adapt to heat and at least survive as a civilization.
I stayed in a mongoloid home in Tunisia last year. It was lovely. It was a large, central, below-grade courtyard with dugout, underground rooms branching off it. The rooms were cool all day. By being below grade, the courtyard was in shade most of the day and didn't get too hot. Through clever tunneling, the rising heat generated a draft.
I also learned that mongoloid, at least in Tunisia, is not considered a derogatory term.
txru 2 days ago [-]
I believe you mean troglodyte homes. It's literal Greek for "hole-dweller" but become an insult by association.
Hnrobert42 1 days ago [-]
Hoho, you are right! In what is left of my addled mind, I substituted one questionable word for another. Thank you!
Avicebron 2 days ago [-]
Someone wrote a book about this, they called the people who went underground the Morlocks. It was a cautionary tale...
Bender 2 days ago [-]
There are cautionary tails about everything humans do. Good leadership and the desire to survive can keep some of us around. If we have to stay down there for thousands of generations, well, it won't affect me or anyone I know. We can jump off the evolutionary bridge when we get to it. Ideally our automatons would be geoengineering the planet to make the surface hospitable once again prior to our becoming Trogs.
Avicebron 2 days ago [-]
> Good leadership and the desire to survive can keep some of us around.
I would posit that good leadership and desire to survive could prevent humanity from retreating to the earth like naked mole rats.
Bender 2 days ago [-]
I would posit that good leadership and desire to survive could prevent humanity from retreating to the earth like naked mole rats.
It very well could. I like having contingency plans and not letting my survival and the survival of our civilization solely depend on the promises of congress critters. I also want to learn earth bending from the giant badgermoles so I am biased.
Avicebron 2 days ago [-]
I hadn't considered the badgermole angle..fair enough. Have this webcomic that I spent more trying to find than I should because I get flashbacks whenever I hear people throw out the "we'll live underground" angle
You can live underground during extreme heat, you cannot build an underground shelter under extreme heat.
When the day comes do you think there will be room for everyone?
Bender 2 days ago [-]
you cannot build an underground shelter under extreme heat.
Yup. That's why I said,
"but they would have had to start that project some time ago"
When the day comes do you think there will be room for everyone?
Depends when the project starts, how much money goes into it based on the nations priority. There are subway systems in some countries designed for this purpose that can hold entire cities. Not entire nations but enough that a nation or civilization could be restarted. It would be a very rough start.
If countries started putting a small percentage of their GDP into building underground cities a few decades ago they could probably save most people. They would have to store up massive amounts of freeze dried food and have water treatment facilities that can hold lakes of drinkable water.
lmm 2 days ago [-]
> The really scary thing will be when the wet bulb temperature goes above 35 degrees, and humans can only survive with AC.
When I visited Singapore most people retreated indoors to the AC from about 2:30-4:30 every afternoon. I don’t recall the exact temps then but the idea that everyone would be just fine in a severe heat wave leading to power grid outages is false.
ant6n 13 hours ago [-]
I don't make any sort of claim of 'just fine'. I am saying there will be places and times where people cannot regulate their body temperature via evaporation, so they will die outside without AC within hours. And in Singapore that point hasn't been reached yet.
The point isn't that it's "just fine" right now, it's that it will get way worse.
ValentineC 2 days ago [-]
I'm sweating as I read this in a non-air-conditioned room.
No, I'm already not comfortable indoors. It's much worse outdoors.
jyounker 2 days ago [-]
"But global warming is a hoax. And even if it wasn't it's not our fault. People couldn't be the cause. And even if it is our fault there's nothing we could do about it."
We have broken our world for the greed of a few. History will not be kind to us.
ralph84 2 days ago [-]
Humanity is a blip in Earth's history. We'll be a historical curiosity to whatever comes next just like the dinosaurs are to us.
mathgeek 2 days ago [-]
History will forget effectively all of us, so that’s comforting.
WesolyKubeczek 2 days ago [-]
I hope some record of us stays so whoever comes next would be able to learn from our stupidity.
Yeah, and eternal shame is all we deserve.
babymetal 2 days ago [-]
I started reading history hoping to learn how to avoid the mistakes of the past, and instead came to the conclusion that history inexorably repeats itself, over a cycle just long enough for the current generation to forget the last event. (I'm trying to indicate similar kinds of mistakes in judgment, the details are always different of course.)
mathgeek 6 hours ago [-]
> I started reading history hoping to learn how to avoid the mistakes of the past
It's a noble pursuit, but the key part for you is that you _wanted_ to avoid those mistakes and put forth an effort to learn how to. The necessity, in order to truly avoid them, is that enough individuals collectively desire and pursue that. It's why (good) public education is so important for the long term health of societies.
flowerthoughts 2 days ago [-]
And who knows, maybe the dinosaurs were burping so much they were also starting a global warming.
bamboozled 2 days ago [-]
I think people just say this to make themselves feel better about the dire situation we're in. Whatever works, but it's not quite true in my opinion. The dinosaurs weren't just a "blip" to us.
2 days ago [-]
arjie 2 days ago [-]
True that it’s a few in a global sense but it’s almost every user of this website surely, the vast majority of whom will continue to “break the world” so to speak which makes this less a lament and more a boast.
Hnrobert42 2 days ago [-]
No. It's really a small few. It's largely Republican politicians, especially Trump, protecting coal and petrochemical companies.
elcritch 2 days ago [-]
See I could agree with the first part. But then you add We have broken our world for the greed of a few. After that I sort of understand why so many folks reject the former – they're rejecting the empty moralizing.
If you truly believe climate change is real then also admit that "We all have broken the world", except perhaps some uncontacted peoples in the Amazon.
Anyone who has ridden in an automobile, a train, a plane, a powered boat has contributed. Anyone who has used or purchased goods transported with any of the above has as well. Anyone who's eaten crops grown with large amounts of industrial fertilizers has contributed (e.g. most of the world).
The oil companies just produce what everyone in the world wants and wants cheap.
probably_wrong 2 days ago [-]
Not everyone's footprint is the same, though.
If I cut down my plane flight in half that means I'll take a plane every two years, meaning I'll also see my family half as much. You'd also have to include that, since I travel economy, you'd divide my contribution by ~350.
If Taylor Swift cuts her plane travel by half she'd "only" make 51 trips a year [1] on a plane that carries 12 and would still make more money in a year than what I'll see in my lifetime.
IMO, saying that both of us are contributing equally as much to global warming is just unfair.
I didn't say we're all equally culpable. We're not. Yet en masse we're all guilty to some degree.
There's only what 10's of thousands Taylor Swifts in the world. Yet there's billions of everyone else. The majority of greenhouse gasses likely come from the aggregate of everyone.
II2II 2 days ago [-]
It doesn't always work that way.
A personal example: I don't drive. I use public transit a couple of times a year. I am in private cars maybe once every two year. I haven't flown in about 15 years. Clearly this is a contrived example. My energy use patterns are much more typical when using other metrics. That said, it is also the flip side of being a Taylor Swift of the world. There is a point in the developed world where the millions are using much more energy than the thousands.
I said developed world because there are also parts of the world that simply don't have access to my gratuitous level of energy use. To say that they are guilty of contributing based upon the technicality that they are directly or indirectly using a disproportionately small amount of energy is beyond insulting. It is also a blatant way to paper over our responsibility.
elcritch 2 days ago [-]
> Globally, the poorest 50% emit roughly 4.4 billion tons to 4.7 billion tons equivalent annually, accounting for about 11% to 12% of total global greenhouse gas emissions.
The “less-developed” bottom half of the world population still produces about a tenth of the annual co2 production annually.
That means instead of potential climate catastrophe in 10 years it’d take 100 years if the top half disappeared tomorrow. Obviously an overly simplistic argument but its meant to show that the problem would just be slower but not gone if we got rid of the “wealthy”.
Now I don’t believe they’re equally as culpable. Yet I also firmly believe the vast majority would choose the same as us in developed world have if they could.
Ultimately that’s more of my point. What’s happening isn’t due to some evil plot by the ultra wealthy. It’s the result of human nature.
Some unscrupulous ultra wealthy might hasten it by a few years or a decade, but the core problem is human nature and an abundance of fossil fuels.
The “wealthy” are also the most likely to prevent catastrophe by developing renewables, etc.
ryandrake 2 days ago [-]
But OP said exactly that: "We (meaning all of us) have broken our world for the greed of a few."
gpvos 1 days ago [-]
> I didn't say we're all equally culpable.
That didn't come quite through. You seemed to be taking a rather extreme position, while replying to someone who just pointed out the systemic issues, which of course don't absolve anyone of their own responsibility.
fyjmff 2 days ago [-]
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0x1ceb00da 2 days ago [-]
> If Taylor Swift cuts her plane travel by half she'd "only" make 51 trips a year [1] on a plane that carries 12 and would still make more money in a year than what I'll see in my lifetime.
Taylor swift travels so much because the people want to see her in person.
abdullahkhalids 2 days ago [-]
There are only about 1.6 billion cars in the world. Only about 20% of the world population has access to a personal car. Less than that have ever ridden a plane, and less than 10% fly with any regularity.
A super majority of greenhouse gases emitted are due to the lives of the top 20-30% of the population (of which unfortunately I am a part). The remaining people's contributions are small. 80:20 rule in full glory.
Worst of all, the 80% are the most impacted by climate change as TFA illustrates.
dheera 2 days ago [-]
The biggest hope at this point honestly is that fewer people are having kids and we're on track to halve the world population in another couple generations. Greenhouse emissions cut by half.
abdullahkhalids 2 days ago [-]
The per capita emissions of USA/Canada/Gulf countries have to be cut by a factor of 8-10 to reach sustainable levels. The per capita emissions of EU/China/SEA have to cut by 4 to reach sustainable levels. All within the next 25 years if we want to avoid crossing tipping points.
Halving the population in 50 years is not a realistic plan.
_carbyau_ 2 days ago [-]
> Halving the population in 50 years is not a realistic plan.
Here are some projections to support that statement. Supposedly 2084 is peak population.
I haven't read up on all the assumptions made for those projections. If something unassumed pops up that makes things substantially worse then the population peak would come earlier I guess. But that's a gamble.
genxy 2 days ago [-]
Not all participants are equal.
You are conflating participation from equality, yes everyone participates in the system, it takes a lot of privileged to be able to disassociate ones self from the system itself. The power dynamic within the system favors the wealthy, whom have decided that this is the path we are going down.
ncruces 2 days ago [-]
Writing about "the wealthy" on a site like HN is always interesting.
Who do you mean?
The vast majority of HN commenters are 10%ers and very many are 1%ers.
But there's always someone richer to complain about.
ryandrake 2 days ago [-]
HN loves to nit-pick about what "the wealthy" actually means, but in most contexts, when someone complains "the wealthy" did this or "the wealthy" did that, what they mean are a very, very tiny number of people who are not on HN, not in anyone on HN's family, and not intimately known by anyone on HN.
When someone says "the wealthy" are getting rich to everyone's detriment, they are almost never talking about the doctor who lives three doors down the street from you who drives a nice new 911 or the guy who owns 20 laundromats in your city. I think we all know who we're talking about.
JumpCrisscross 2 days ago [-]
Broadly speaking, when anyone says the rich or the wealthy, they mean people richer than themselves. I’ve seen everyone from line workers to multimillionaires do it.
otherme123 2 days ago [-]
Reminds me of a casual conversation with a 1%, maybe a 0.1%: "we [meaning he and his wife] are not wealthy. All of our friends own a yatch, but we don't".
JumpCrisscross 1 days ago [-]
Yup. The actual rich have this or that cabin in their private jets–my neighbour just rents his privatet jets, et cetera.
brewdad 2 days ago [-]
In a global context, pretty much anyone on this site is a 10%er. Most of us are 1%ers.
littlexsparkee 2 days ago [-]
Are they guiding policy and making decisions at corporations or just living within the existing framework? He's talking about the people shaping the world and future.
jyounker 18 hours ago [-]
Fossil fuel companies have spent the the last forty years in an organized campaign to prevent the US (and by extension, the world) from taking action against global warming.
There's a great book on the subject called "Merchants of Doubt" by Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway.
tracerbulletx 2 days ago [-]
Not all people have equal culpability. It's absurd to be like, well you havent successfully waged an eco-terroristic war to overturn the system so you're just as bad as someone actively leading a lobby group to cast doubt on the science, or bribing politicians not to act on it, or even just as someone who votes in favor of people who resist action. In fact it's just another tactic of denialism to say "if you can't personally solve this problem just give up and caring is ineffective so you shouldn't care"
gpvos 1 days ago [-]
It's moralizing, yes, but far from empty. The rich and powerful companies, near-forced to be amoral by our economic system, and run by the greedy by natural selection, have resources to influence policy, public opinion and information availability that others don't have.
Kiterman 2 days ago [-]
If it weren't for oil companies going out of their way to sabotage alternative fuels through politicians, misinformation, and a myriad of other abuses I'd be more inclined to believe you. Not everyone is equally culpable in this, there are many who have been trying to get rid of oil as the main fuel source for a long time.
stavros 2 days ago [-]
Hell, even Greenpeace had a huge campaign against nuclear, ensuring we burn coal for decades more than we should have.
andai 2 days ago [-]
I worked at a warehouse last year. Managers always breathing down my neck to work faster. Constant stress for 9 hours straight. (Okay, we got a lunch break at least. There are worse jobs!)
It got me wondering. Alright, what's his problem. Well, his manager is breathing down his neck too. It's literally his job to make my day as stressful as possible. Okay, why? You trace that chain and where does it end up? Fat capitalist?
But what else? Well, where's that pressure coming from? It's the customer. If the company stopped whipping us, and let us work at a normal pace, they'd need 40% more employees to cover the work. Delivery costs would increase proportionally, and suddenly grandma would stop buying from us. She'd go to the company that whips their employees. The whole place would go under.
Something something, Moloch is my nan?
2 days ago [-]
xg15 2 days ago [-]
No profit margins or shareholders at all of course...
andai 23 hours ago [-]
Well, it's just a slice of the picture. It's just the one nobody likes to talk about.
A different slice: went to the supermarket the other day, late on a Sunday. There were two workers in the whole supermarket, both elderly women in their 70s.
Economy sucks here so pensions are bad, they chose to keep working.
But obviously they didn't chose to work on Sunday night. They didn't have a choice there.
If they owned the place, they would have closed at a normal hour.
One of them let out an exasperated sigh when I walked in. More work for her, but not more profit.
I overheard one say to the other, "and then at the end of the month you go to the bank and collect 800 Euros."
two things can be true at the same time. oil and coal before it pulled billions of people out of extreme poverty, but the debt taken on in terms of CO2 will come due. if the gulf stream stops, we're all in for a ride - or worse, our grandchildren.
I'm personally in the 'drill and burn as fast as possible in a mad rush to fusion power' camp so we get a way to fix this shit rather than the 'stop civilization from doing its thing overnight' camp. alas, neither is happening.
actionfromafar 2 days ago [-]
But then why not "mad rush to build battery banks everywhere" instead of "mad rush to fusion power"?
It can't very well be any more expensive.
Batteries give returns right now, fusion only in the future. Maybe.
baq 5 hours ago [-]
Oh we definitely need batteries, too, regardless of fusion ever coming online or not.
That comic is popular only because it absolves people of personal responsibility, not because it makes a great point.
gpvos 1 days ago [-]
In what way does it do that? It in fact strongly urges people to take responsibility and stop being hypocritical.
sltkr 17 hours ago [-]
You're not taking the comic at face value are you? The orange shirt guy is supposed to be the loser who is just trying to "gotcha" the people in the other panels.
The comic isn't even _always_ wrong; sometimes people are using gotchas or accusations of hypocrisy to dismiss otherwise valid concerns. Importantly, just because someone is a hypocrite, that doesn't mean they're wrong.
But in practice, the comic is often used by as a get-out-of-hypocrisy-free card by people who never want to to take any personal action to practice what they preach. Example:
Alice: I loooove my new iPhone 2026 Supermax XXL, it's at least 0.163% shinier than last years model! Oh but I heard that seven Chinese workers died in the Apple factory and that is soooo sad! I wish that could be avoided somehow. Oh well!
Bob: I agree, working conditions in Apple factories are deplorable. If you want to do something about it, you can consider buying a Fairphone instead, or simply delaying upgrading as long as possible. You don't really need to buy a new phone every year, you know!
Alice: What? You expect me to walk around with last year's model like a poor person? I would literally die of embarrassment. And of course I _would_ totally buy the Fairphone if only it came in rose gold with sequin bedazzling which is an absolute necessity to match my purse.
Bob: Okay but these seem like really petty reasons to keep buying Apple products. I find it difficult to take your complaints about working conditions in Apple factories seriously when you're not willing to make any sacrifices or lifestyle changes yourself to improve the situation.
Alice: Oh, I see. You're one of those "gotcha" guys. [Link to comic] Here, this tells me you're just a smartass, and I can do whatever I like while complaining about whatever I want. After all, I'm _just_ like the medieval peasant who wants to improve society somewhat.
wagwang 2 days ago [-]
The last part is just true. Once technology, military, and energy intersect, there's pretty much nothing you can do but slowly march over the cliff. If it's not climate its nuclear winter.
JumpCrisscross 2 days ago [-]
What are you quoting?
gpvos 1 days ago [-]
It's a summary of what you hear climate change deniers say all the time. Using quotes in this way is fair and common, to indicate that it's not your own opinion.
Supermancho 2 days ago [-]
I assume, a tailored version of the narcissists' prayer.
I assume an imaginary but very real and typical climate change denier.
JumpCrisscross 2 days ago [-]
> an imaginary but very real
Idk, quoting straw men isn’t a good-faith way of arguing.
Supermancho 2 days ago [-]
Ironic, since the quote is not an argument. It's a summary of some rationale given to avoid action.
gpvos 1 days ago [-]
Not a straw man at all; sadly, a very common set of arguments.
munificent 2 days ago [-]
I certainly agree that the powerful elites bear a disproportionate share of the guilt for the harm they have caused.
But I also believe that much of what's going on in the world isn't solely their fault and is also in many ways an emergent behavior. We are all like ants in an ant mill. Each of us is doing the things that locally make sense for us (even taking into account our desires to take care of the earth!), but our interactions with the economy and the market build a sort of giant super-organism out of us all whose behavior is to fuck up the climate.
defrost 2 days ago [-]
> We are all like ants in an ant mill. Each of us is doing the things that locally make sense for us
Easily lead by chemtrails, yes - but it is a fact that some individuals have disproportionately more influence over "local zeitgeist" than others.
As a brief recap; the atmosphere become a greater and greater insulating blanket as a direct result of human use of fossil fuels was solid science as far back as 1967 [0] and the larger more influential nations of the world accepted that finding and discussed actions in the 1970s [1].
Since that time there's been a near non stop flood of FUD about the inevitable effect of rising CO2 that has been pushed out by the likes of the Koch brothers (now just one), Christopher Monckton, and many others directly benefitting from fossil fuel industry.
People in middle North America rolling coal and spitting on public transport projects have had their worldview been shaped by media crafted by think tanks with a mandate to obscure cold(?) reality and that lifestyle has set as aspirational to the world.
[1] eg: United Nations Conference on the Human Environment Stockholm, Sweden, June 1972.
munificent 1 days ago [-]
> it is a fact that some individuals have disproportionately more influence over "local zeitgeist" than others.
Yes, that was the first sentence of my comment.
> As a brief recap; the atmosphere become a greater and greater insulating blanket as a direct result of human use of fossil fuels was solid science as far back as 1967 [0] and the larger more influential nations of the world accepted that finding and discussed actions in the 1970s [1].
Yes, and I'm well aware of all of that and am firmly on the side of believing in climate change.
And yet, I still go to a grocery store and buy produce that was grown using fertilizer made from petroleum products, shipped across oceans on ships burning fossil fuels, then driven to the store in trucks burning fossil fuels, wrapped in plastic bags.
So even while I am aware of the problems, my own behavior as a tiny cog in the machine furthers the problems of climate change. I can bring reusable bags to the store (I do), drive a fuel-efficient vehicle (I try to), and shop at farmer's markets to reduce transit usage (sometimes), but that only chips away at the problem. My entire lifestyle is predicated on massive use of petroleum products and processes that worsen climate change. I walk on concrete side walks, have electricity in my home, go to a doctor's office that uses plastics pervasively.
I am part of the system that leads to climate change, as are you. Writing and reading this comment is spending electricity that is likely partially fueled by fossil fuels.
defrost 19 hours ago [-]
> And yet, I still go to a grocery store and buy produce that was grown using fertilizer made from petroleum products, shipped across oceans on ships burning fossil fuels, then driven to the store in trucks burning fossil fuels, wrapped in plastic bags.
For what it's worth, I'm part of a rural community far far away from middle North America and eat and consume much as my parents and grandparents did (my father, born 1935) when they were young and during those times (WWI, WWII, Covid years) when we were isolated from much of the world.
My personal consumption habits are pretty damn lean - my professional consumption patterns have been large, although easily arguably subject to being amortised across tens of millions, and have led to kind of global resource mapping and geodetic data that this current generation should be using to address excessive fossil fuel consumption.
jdkoeck 2 days ago [-]
Does the « greed of the few » include the masses who use air travel across the world, who use cars, who rely on energy infrastructure? I guess the answer is somehow no, because this is populist drivel of the worst kind. Did not expect that here.
bamboozled 2 days ago [-]
The fact that oil companies lobby to kill renewables and nuclear etc and then politicians reciprocated is what they are referring too. Those are "the few".
I never wanted my electricity to come from coal but it has been mostly forced upon me.
Basically there is more money in polluting tech than the alternatives that were available to us for the last 100 years or more.
Air travel would be inconsequential if the rest of the world operating on nuclear, solar and wind.
Over the last two decades I’ve attended climate rallies etc. I think it has had an impact. But due to the corruption we’re in trouble.
melon_tsui 2 days ago [-]
[dead]
qingcharles 2 days ago [-]
"Drill, baby, drill!"
dieselgate 2 days ago [-]
> Poor people don't have the luxury of worrying about the heat
Just.. damn man
> For eight or nine days, temperatures of 47-48C continued without a break
Wasn't sure if the night time temps stayed that hot due to some factor but it appears that's the daytime high.
> Overnight temperatures remain around 30C.
cute_boi 2 days ago [-]
In India even middle class people can't afford AC. However, Indian government and musk is worried about falling birth rate.
melon_tsui 2 days ago [-]
How did you come to the conclusion that the middle class in India cannot afford air conditioning，
leosanchez 1 days ago [-]
middle class CAN afford AC. What are you talking about?
childofhedgehog 2 days ago [-]
We know that cutting down trees increases heat and intensifies drought but we continue to do it, how bad do things need to get before we reverse course?
RegW 2 days ago [-]
... when we find that it also affects us - sat on our fat backsides in our air conditioned gold plated ballrooms.
the_real_cher 2 days ago [-]
Indian people definitely need to do something differently.
24 hours ago [-]
antonymoose 2 days ago [-]
[flagged]
tdb7893 2 days ago [-]
Human land use is incredibly inefficient. As a simple example, in the US the vast majority of corn production is ethanol or animal feed (which is incredibly inneficient on a calorie basis). Then when you take into account low density residential and their endless lawns (turf grass has by far the most acres of any crop in the US) and a million other poor uses of land and there's a lot we can do, even at 8 billion people, without destroying every forest.
The issue isn't that the problem isn't solvable, there are tons of things that have huge environmental benefits. The problem is that these generally require some sacrifice (e.g. denser housing with much smaller lawns, eating more resource efficient foods like lentils, moving away from fossil fuels) but there's not sufficient collective will for actually doing these things.
cute_boi 2 days ago [-]
I think such problem are unsolvable. In America, people can't live without meat and they will always justify it by bringing pasture raised cattle farm :/
tdb7893 1 days ago [-]
So firstly there's been a lot of progress. I know people that grew up vegetarian in the 80s and there are so many more animal and environmentally friendly alternatives and people care more now than ever before.
Secondly, these things will change. If you look at the history of activism often there are people advocating against things hundreds of years before we see large changes (there is activism against forced labor in the Americas in the early 1500s even). So I've found it useful to accept the idea that we'll pass down this fight to the next generation and they'll probably pass it down to the one after that. It could be three decades or it could be three centuries but eventually things will change.
scott_w 2 days ago [-]
Pretty sure there’s a middle ground between “forced sterilisation” and “boil humans to death in 50°C heat,” don’t you?
polski-g 2 days ago [-]
Sterilize half of humans, and boil the other half?
RunningDroid 2 days ago [-]
Hint: The birth rate of a population is inversely correlated with wealth.
Educate women? Isn’t that broadly considered to reduce birth rate?
9x39 2 days ago [-]
Cutoff petroleum-derived fertilizer except for those who can afford carbon credits.
LAC-Tech 2 days ago [-]
"We"? I haven't even been to India let alone cut down trees there.
0x1ceb00da 2 days ago [-]
Part of the reason USA is clean is because it has exported factories to asia. The US did clean up a lot through regulation too, so it’s not just outsourcing, but global supply chains definitely move some of the environmental cost around. Not pointing any fingers and the asian countries did accept those industries of their own free will because there's money in it but it isn't as simple as you say it is. Earth is a giant room. Other countries don't exist in a different universe. Same thing is happening with data centres now. They're being criticised in the USA because of environmental concerns but india is welcoming them. It's the cost of being poor. You gotta choose between two bad options and pick the one that is less bad.
nickvec 2 days ago [-]
The OP of this thread is referring to humanity at large, not just India. We are all in the fight against climate change together.
itissid 2 days ago [-]
I wonder if the government might consider reversing the circadian cycle and tell people to work in the night and sleep in the day. At this point its better because IIUC many animal's reproductive system shuts down at such high temperatures.
And I would not discount this govt considering it given that far less rational, crazier, things have happened in the past like for instance randomly cancelling high denomination cash notes.
ourmandave 2 days ago [-]
47 celsius is 116.6 fahrenheit.
Leptonmaniac 2 days ago [-]
47 degrees Celsius is also 27,5 meV
2 days ago [-]
bunbun69 1 days ago [-]
Maybe Indias population should grow even more! Surely that will solve the problems!
chaz6 1 days ago [-]
Is one solution to this underground with tunnels?
rurban 1 days ago [-]
So basically Houston without HVAC's.
delduca 2 days ago [-]
Destroy tree to build datacenters
ares623 2 days ago [-]
If you are reading this in your climate controlled northern hemisphere room, be reminded that the people suffering this are not just going to disappear, and they will need to live somewhere, somehow, and they will be more motivated than you will ever be. If you love your "western comfort" so much, the best thing you can do is to make sure other people than yourselves can also have a bare minimum of living conditions.
bamboozled 2 days ago [-]
No, they will sadly disappear. That's the horror of it. Then we will etc.
the_real_cher 2 days ago [-]
There needs to be a population decline in these places where living conditions are not amenable to human existence.
Yet somehow theres over a billion people.
ares623 2 days ago [-]
That's beside the point. Fact is, there are a billion people there now.
We can either make them want to stay there, away from our "western comforts" (blegh), or force them to stay there at the cost of the very comforts we wanted to keep for ourselves.
"If you let your neighbor's house burn, expect to breathe smoke"
the_real_cher 1 days ago [-]
I dont think people should be rewarded for irresponsible behavior.
perching_aix 2 days ago [-]
Lots of chatter about global warming / climate change in the thread, but that's not what the piece is actually about per se?
> They have lived with heat for generations. What worries researchers is not that the district is hot, but that it is becoming hotter, for longer, in a landscape losing the trees and water that once helped keep temperatures in check.
So there are two base claims, and then another building on top:
- the pattern in which the heat exhibits has changed / is changing, not the "amount of heat" so to speak (temperatures have always been about this miserably hot there)
- the developments in the area have changed the landscape significantly over the years (a change in vegetation coverage and infrastructure)
- that the latter is causing the former (and implying that if it was undone, this phenomenon would also resolve)
A half-hearted "search" "confirmed" to me the developments and the change in landscape plenty convincingly enough, but not the heat pattern changes (data access troubles). It'd seem to me that just like the locals report, this year is exceptional. The correlation between the amount of overall landscape change and the heat pattern changes further seem rather loose, although I'm sure the relationship is nonlinear.
Even aside from that though, the conclusion doesn't automatically hold up. It's entirely believable, as the phenomenon itself is well established afaik, but that's not the same as it being correct in this case. I guess such an analysis would be research paper material though, not a BBC news article, so maybe my expectations are a bit misplaced.
the_real_cher 2 days ago [-]
Why is there a billion people in India if these conditions exist?
It has less space than USA and almost triple the population.
Its never made sense to me why the birthrate was so high in countries with deadly living conditions, meanwhile the population in the United States with excellent conditions is declining.
Supermancho 2 days ago [-]
> Why is there a billion people in India if these conditions exist?
Not to be crude, but this should be obvious. Similar to many poor areas anywhere in the world, but what else do you do all day hiding indoors (due to violence, poverty, et al) for entertainment, with very limited income? Physical intimacy is fun.
It's also partly because the society is agrarian by population, culture, and education. This is born out by behavioral signals "Despite high awareness (over 99%), access and choice remain challenges, with only 56.5% of married women using modern contraception according to NFHS-5 (2019-21)" - Children are a support system and a labor font. Growing wealth by growing a family is a historically successful pattern (albeit not a guarantee).
> Its never made sense to me why the birthrate was so high in countries with these hostile conditions, meanwhile the population in the United States with excellent conditions is declining.
What do humans do all day with all the creature comforts and an expectation they will always have them to some degree? They have less children in trade for better income, investment, and comfort. Industrial nations have been tracking this for decades.
qingcharles 2 days ago [-]
Pulp's Common People had a line for me that summed up the working-class existence:
# And you dance and drink and screw. Because there's nothing else to do.
the_real_cher 1 days ago [-]
> Physical intimacy is fun
Lots of things are fun.
Doesnt make them any less irresponsible.
hgoel 2 days ago [-]
It's about the level of education, especially around family planning/birth control, how easily women can refuse, what other avenues there are for people to keep themselves satisfied besides sex, and what people can afford.
The well off, well educated city dwelling portion of the Indian population is approaching similar standards to the West, couples have maybe 1 or 2 children, women have more freedom to refuse, while the cost of raising a child to have a better life than they had is still low enough.
The poorer segments are gradually getting there, but it takes time.
I hope that the case isn't that you're not actually curious and are trying to imply that the population needs to be made to decline by force.
nickburns 2 days ago [-]
> But what made this summer's episode unusual was its persistence.
But, but—it's not summer in the Nothern Hemisphere yet.
kelnos 2 days ago [-]
I know people who insist that the seasons start on the first of March/June/September/December. It makes no sense from the perspective of the Earth's orientation toward the sun (astronomical seasons), but apparently "meteorological seasons" are a thing, and people go by them.
gib444 2 days ago [-]
It's pouring it down, cloudy, windy and -3.5c deviated from average temperatures here in the UK: very much not summer, I agree!
newsclues 2 days ago [-]
I wonder if data centres are as bad as cities for urban heat island effect
jl6 2 days ago [-]
The physical footprint of a data center is far smaller than a city, so that would limit heat island effects that arise from things like surface albedo (which are only material over large areas). In terms of raw heat dissipation though, an exceptionally large data center could compete with a small city.
crowbahr 2 days ago [-]
Not when a datacenter is the size of manhattan
newsclues 2 days ago [-]
Yeah, but I’m wondering if they are hotter or more consistently hotter than a city which while hotter than a forest still has trees and parks etc.
Welcome to the future! What a lovely world we've created for ourselves!
2 days ago [-]
dwd 2 days ago [-]
What I find bizarre is the word "siesta" doesn't appear in this article.
People have been working around the hot summer hours in Southern Europe for centuries. Until recent times it was part of the culture.
l1ng0 2 days ago [-]
It's part of the culture where I live, but the heat keeps increasing. 45 in dry heat (unless you work outside) is fine if you get cooler nights to recover, but when you don't get a break, it's lethal. Also aircon helps you but adds significantly to the heat outside in urban areas, causing what feels like a vicious circle. Anyway, where I live aircon is not common and electricity costs are high.
dwd 2 days ago [-]
As a child traveling around northern Spain and rural southern France we got caught out and had to stop and wait for a service station to reopen so we could buy petrol. All part of the experience.
I've lived in a few places that would get consecutive 40C+ days. Perfectly fine unless the wind is a strong northerly blowing from the interior. The 37C in Brisbane this year was much less bearable due to the higher humidity: 75% rather than 45%.
perching_aix 2 days ago [-]
[dead]
thelastgallon 2 days ago [-]
AI (Compute/GPU) has always been first citizen on this planet. Cradle to Grave in AC environment. Humans, yeah, they'll live in the heat. Or not.
We must spend trillions of dollars on AI as if we are going to be extinct. Meanwhile, nobody has any money for massively increasing clean energy, which is possible now, just deploy solar (dirt cheap) everywhere, use EVs to dump excess production during the day.
Datacenters are subsidized everywhere (just like fossil fuels), and they get the best and first cuts of everything. Google is building a mega DC in Vizag, India, with massive incentives from Govt.
In that book, a wet bulb event (high humidity and high temp) in India pushes infrastructure past the breaking point, the grid goes down, AC systems still running on generators are overloaded and overcrowded and fail, the water temp goes over body temp, and millions die.
The positive cultural/societal reaction to the disaster strained my suspension of disbelief pretty hard, as is typical of KSR novels in my experience, but the idea of a heat wave causing a massive catastrophe (and the poignant description of attempting to live through it) stuck with me.
It is feeling more and more imminent with each passing year.
And then there will be cries of nobody saw this coming.
As the article notes, people certainly will and do die from such conditions. But it’s in the tens of thousands, not millions. And about 50,000 people a year die from heat waves in europe, too.
Mini-splits have a maximum operating temperature in the 47-50˚C range.
The headline in this article seems to indicate some places have hit that limit, and so the external units (compressors) may not be able push the heat out of the refrigerant any longer.
Tell that to all the brown- and black-outs I experienced while traveling there. Renting a room with AC was double the price, at least, abd then there wasn't enough electricity to power it. There frequently wasn't even enough to fully freeze icecubes in the freezer.
The really scary thing will be when the wet bulb temperature goes above 35 degrees, and humans can only survive with AC.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wet-bulb_temperature
[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coober_Pedy
[2] - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JsYmw6FtSIA Wyoming Trona mines
I also learned that mongoloid, at least in Tunisia, is not considered a derogatory term.
I would posit that good leadership and desire to survive could prevent humanity from retreating to the earth like naked mole rats.
It very well could. I like having contingency plans and not letting my survival and the survival of our civilization solely depend on the promises of congress critters. I also want to learn earth bending from the giant badgermoles so I am biased.
https://badspacecomics.com/rivers-end-copy
When the day comes do you think there will be room for everyone?
Yup. That's why I said,
"but they would have had to start that project some time ago"
When the day comes do you think there will be room for everyone?
Depends when the project starts, how much money goes into it based on the nations priority. There are subway systems in some countries designed for this purpose that can hold entire cities. Not entire nations but enough that a nation or civilization could be restarted. It would be a very rough start.
If countries started putting a small percentage of their GDP into building underground cities a few decades ago they could probably save most people. They would have to store up massive amounts of freeze dried food and have water treatment facilities that can hold lakes of drinkable water.
That's already an everyday reality in Singapore.
And given that the maximum ever temperature in Singapore is 35-36 for most months, I doubt that a wet bulb temperature of 35+ is common.
https://api-open.data.gov.sg/v2/real-time/api/weather?api=wb...
(Search for "high".)
The point isn't that it's "just fine" right now, it's that it will get way worse.
No, I'm already not comfortable indoors. It's much worse outdoors.
We have broken our world for the greed of a few. History will not be kind to us.
Yeah, and eternal shame is all we deserve.
It's a noble pursuit, but the key part for you is that you _wanted_ to avoid those mistakes and put forth an effort to learn how to. The necessity, in order to truly avoid them, is that enough individuals collectively desire and pursue that. It's why (good) public education is so important for the long term health of societies.
If you truly believe climate change is real then also admit that "We all have broken the world", except perhaps some uncontacted peoples in the Amazon.
Anyone who has ridden in an automobile, a train, a plane, a powered boat has contributed. Anyone who has used or purchased goods transported with any of the above has as well. Anyone who's eaten crops grown with large amounts of industrial fertilizers has contributed (e.g. most of the world).
The oil companies just produce what everyone in the world wants and wants cheap.
If I cut down my plane flight in half that means I'll take a plane every two years, meaning I'll also see my family half as much. You'd also have to include that, since I travel economy, you'd divide my contribution by ~350.
If Taylor Swift cuts her plane travel by half she'd "only" make 51 trips a year [1] on a plane that carries 12 and would still make more money in a year than what I'll see in my lifetime.
IMO, saying that both of us are contributing equally as much to global warming is just unfair.
[1] https://www.businessinsider.com/taylor-swift-spent-160-hours...
There's only what 10's of thousands Taylor Swifts in the world. Yet there's billions of everyone else. The majority of greenhouse gasses likely come from the aggregate of everyone.
A personal example: I don't drive. I use public transit a couple of times a year. I am in private cars maybe once every two year. I haven't flown in about 15 years. Clearly this is a contrived example. My energy use patterns are much more typical when using other metrics. That said, it is also the flip side of being a Taylor Swift of the world. There is a point in the developed world where the millions are using much more energy than the thousands.
I said developed world because there are also parts of the world that simply don't have access to my gratuitous level of energy use. To say that they are guilty of contributing based upon the technicality that they are directly or indirectly using a disproportionately small amount of energy is beyond insulting. It is also a blatant way to paper over our responsibility.
The “less-developed” bottom half of the world population still produces about a tenth of the annual co2 production annually.
That means instead of potential climate catastrophe in 10 years it’d take 100 years if the top half disappeared tomorrow. Obviously an overly simplistic argument but its meant to show that the problem would just be slower but not gone if we got rid of the “wealthy”.
Now I don’t believe they’re equally as culpable. Yet I also firmly believe the vast majority would choose the same as us in developed world have if they could.
Ultimately that’s more of my point. What’s happening isn’t due to some evil plot by the ultra wealthy. It’s the result of human nature.
Some unscrupulous ultra wealthy might hasten it by a few years or a decade, but the core problem is human nature and an abundance of fossil fuels.
The “wealthy” are also the most likely to prevent catastrophe by developing renewables, etc.
That didn't come quite through. You seemed to be taking a rather extreme position, while replying to someone who just pointed out the systemic issues, which of course don't absolve anyone of their own responsibility.
Taylor swift travels so much because the people want to see her in person.
A super majority of greenhouse gases emitted are due to the lives of the top 20-30% of the population (of which unfortunately I am a part). The remaining people's contributions are small. 80:20 rule in full glory.
Worst of all, the 80% are the most impacted by climate change as TFA illustrates.
Halving the population in 50 years is not a realistic plan.
Here are some projections to support that statement. Supposedly 2084 is peak population.
https://population.gov.au/sites/population.gov.au/files/2025...
I haven't read up on all the assumptions made for those projections. If something unassumed pops up that makes things substantially worse then the population peak would come earlier I guess. But that's a gamble.
You are conflating participation from equality, yes everyone participates in the system, it takes a lot of privileged to be able to disassociate ones self from the system itself. The power dynamic within the system favors the wealthy, whom have decided that this is the path we are going down.
Who do you mean?
The vast majority of HN commenters are 10%ers and very many are 1%ers.
But there's always someone richer to complain about.
When someone says "the wealthy" are getting rich to everyone's detriment, they are almost never talking about the doctor who lives three doors down the street from you who drives a nice new 911 or the guy who owns 20 laundromats in your city. I think we all know who we're talking about.
There's a great book on the subject called "Merchants of Doubt" by Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway.
It got me wondering. Alright, what's his problem. Well, his manager is breathing down his neck too. It's literally his job to make my day as stressful as possible. Okay, why? You trace that chain and where does it end up? Fat capitalist?
Well, something something mutual funds. Okay, that's beyond me.
But what else? Well, where's that pressure coming from? It's the customer. If the company stopped whipping us, and let us work at a normal pace, they'd need 40% more employees to cover the work. Delivery costs would increase proportionally, and suddenly grandma would stop buying from us. She'd go to the company that whips their employees. The whole place would go under.
Something something, Moloch is my nan?
A different slice: went to the supermarket the other day, late on a Sunday. There were two workers in the whole supermarket, both elderly women in their 70s.
Economy sucks here so pensions are bad, they chose to keep working.
But obviously they didn't chose to work on Sunday night. They didn't have a choice there.
If they owned the place, they would have closed at a normal hour.
One of them let out an exasperated sigh when I walked in. More work for her, but not more profit.
I overheard one say to the other, "and then at the end of the month you go to the bank and collect 800 Euros."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SH2pFTx_8VE
I'm personally in the 'drill and burn as fast as possible in a mad rush to fusion power' camp so we get a way to fix this shit rather than the 'stop civilization from doing its thing overnight' camp. alas, neither is happening.
It can't very well be any more expensive.
Batteries give returns right now, fusion only in the future. Maybe.
The comic isn't even _always_ wrong; sometimes people are using gotchas or accusations of hypocrisy to dismiss otherwise valid concerns. Importantly, just because someone is a hypocrite, that doesn't mean they're wrong.
But in practice, the comic is often used by as a get-out-of-hypocrisy-free card by people who never want to to take any personal action to practice what they preach. Example:
Alice: I loooove my new iPhone 2026 Supermax XXL, it's at least 0.163% shinier than last years model! Oh but I heard that seven Chinese workers died in the Apple factory and that is soooo sad! I wish that could be avoided somehow. Oh well!
Bob: I agree, working conditions in Apple factories are deplorable. If you want to do something about it, you can consider buying a Fairphone instead, or simply delaying upgrading as long as possible. You don't really need to buy a new phone every year, you know!
Alice: What? You expect me to walk around with last year's model like a poor person? I would literally die of embarrassment. And of course I _would_ totally buy the Fairphone if only it came in rose gold with sequin bedazzling which is an absolute necessity to match my purse.
Bob: Okay but these seem like really petty reasons to keep buying Apple products. I find it difficult to take your complaints about working conditions in Apple factories seriously when you're not willing to make any sacrifices or lifestyle changes yourself to improve the situation.
Alice: Oh, I see. You're one of those "gotcha" guys. [Link to comic] Here, this tells me you're just a smartass, and I can do whatever I like while complaining about whatever I want. After all, I'm _just_ like the medieval peasant who wants to improve society somewhat.
https://www.thelifedoctor.org/the-narcissist-s-prayer
Idk, quoting straw men isn’t a good-faith way of arguing.
But I also believe that much of what's going on in the world isn't solely their fault and is also in many ways an emergent behavior. We are all like ants in an ant mill. Each of us is doing the things that locally make sense for us (even taking into account our desires to take care of the earth!), but our interactions with the economy and the market build a sort of giant super-organism out of us all whose behavior is to fuck up the climate.
Easily lead by chemtrails, yes - but it is a fact that some individuals have disproportionately more influence over "local zeitgeist" than others.
As a brief recap; the atmosphere become a greater and greater insulating blanket as a direct result of human use of fossil fuels was solid science as far back as 1967 [0] and the larger more influential nations of the world accepted that finding and discussed actions in the 1970s [1].
Since that time there's been a near non stop flood of FUD about the inevitable effect of rising CO2 that has been pushed out by the likes of the Koch brothers (now just one), Christopher Monckton, and many others directly benefitting from fossil fuel industry.
People in middle North America rolling coal and spitting on public transport projects have had their worldview been shaped by media crafted by think tanks with a mandate to obscure cold(?) reality and that lifestyle has set as aspirational to the world.
[0] Thermal Equilibrium of the Atmosphere with a Given Distribution of Relative Humidity - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Volume 24 Issue 3 (1967) https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/atsc/24/3/1520-04...
[1] eg: United Nations Conference on the Human Environment Stockholm, Sweden, June 1972.
Yes, that was the first sentence of my comment.
> As a brief recap; the atmosphere become a greater and greater insulating blanket as a direct result of human use of fossil fuels was solid science as far back as 1967 [0] and the larger more influential nations of the world accepted that finding and discussed actions in the 1970s [1].
Yes, and I'm well aware of all of that and am firmly on the side of believing in climate change.
And yet, I still go to a grocery store and buy produce that was grown using fertilizer made from petroleum products, shipped across oceans on ships burning fossil fuels, then driven to the store in trucks burning fossil fuels, wrapped in plastic bags.
So even while I am aware of the problems, my own behavior as a tiny cog in the machine furthers the problems of climate change. I can bring reusable bags to the store (I do), drive a fuel-efficient vehicle (I try to), and shop at farmer's markets to reduce transit usage (sometimes), but that only chips away at the problem. My entire lifestyle is predicated on massive use of petroleum products and processes that worsen climate change. I walk on concrete side walks, have electricity in my home, go to a doctor's office that uses plastics pervasively.
I am part of the system that leads to climate change, as are you. Writing and reading this comment is spending electricity that is likely partially fueled by fossil fuels.
For what it's worth, I'm part of a rural community far far away from middle North America and eat and consume much as my parents and grandparents did (my father, born 1935) when they were young and during those times (WWI, WWII, Covid years) when we were isolated from much of the world.
My personal consumption habits are pretty damn lean - my professional consumption patterns have been large, although easily arguably subject to being amortised across tens of millions, and have led to kind of global resource mapping and geodetic data that this current generation should be using to address excessive fossil fuel consumption.
I never wanted my electricity to come from coal but it has been mostly forced upon me.
Basically there is more money in polluting tech than the alternatives that were available to us for the last 100 years or more.
Air travel would be inconsequential if the rest of the world operating on nuclear, solar and wind.
Over the last two decades I’ve attended climate rallies etc. I think it has had an impact. But due to the corruption we’re in trouble.
Just.. damn man
> For eight or nine days, temperatures of 47-48C continued without a break
Wasn't sure if the night time temps stayed that hot due to some factor but it appears that's the daytime high.
> Overnight temperatures remain around 30C.
The issue isn't that the problem isn't solvable, there are tons of things that have huge environmental benefits. The problem is that these generally require some sacrifice (e.g. denser housing with much smaller lawns, eating more resource efficient foods like lentils, moving away from fossil fuels) but there's not sufficient collective will for actually doing these things.
Secondly, these things will change. If you look at the history of activism often there are people advocating against things hundreds of years before we see large changes (there is activism against forced labor in the Americas in the early 1500s even). So I've found it useful to accept the idea that we'll pass down this fight to the next generation and they'll probably pass it down to the one after that. It could be three decades or it could be three centuries but eventually things will change.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_and_fertility
And I would not discount this govt considering it given that far less rational, crazier, things have happened in the past like for instance randomly cancelling high denomination cash notes.
Yet somehow theres over a billion people.
We can either make them want to stay there, away from our "western comforts" (blegh), or force them to stay there at the cost of the very comforts we wanted to keep for ourselves.
"If you let your neighbor's house burn, expect to breathe smoke"
> They have lived with heat for generations. What worries researchers is not that the district is hot, but that it is becoming hotter, for longer, in a landscape losing the trees and water that once helped keep temperatures in check.
So there are two base claims, and then another building on top:
- the pattern in which the heat exhibits has changed / is changing, not the "amount of heat" so to speak (temperatures have always been about this miserably hot there)
- the developments in the area have changed the landscape significantly over the years (a change in vegetation coverage and infrastructure)
- that the latter is causing the former (and implying that if it was undone, this phenomenon would also resolve)
A half-hearted "search" "confirmed" to me the developments and the change in landscape plenty convincingly enough, but not the heat pattern changes (data access troubles). It'd seem to me that just like the locals report, this year is exceptional. The correlation between the amount of overall landscape change and the heat pattern changes further seem rather loose, although I'm sure the relationship is nonlinear.
Even aside from that though, the conclusion doesn't automatically hold up. It's entirely believable, as the phenomenon itself is well established afaik, but that's not the same as it being correct in this case. I guess such an analysis would be research paper material though, not a BBC news article, so maybe my expectations are a bit misplaced.
It has less space than USA and almost triple the population.
Its never made sense to me why the birthrate was so high in countries with deadly living conditions, meanwhile the population in the United States with excellent conditions is declining.
Not to be crude, but this should be obvious. Similar to many poor areas anywhere in the world, but what else do you do all day hiding indoors (due to violence, poverty, et al) for entertainment, with very limited income? Physical intimacy is fun.
It's also partly because the society is agrarian by population, culture, and education. This is born out by behavioral signals "Despite high awareness (over 99%), access and choice remain challenges, with only 56.5% of married women using modern contraception according to NFHS-5 (2019-21)" - Children are a support system and a labor font. Growing wealth by growing a family is a historically successful pattern (albeit not a guarantee).
> Its never made sense to me why the birthrate was so high in countries with these hostile conditions, meanwhile the population in the United States with excellent conditions is declining.
What do humans do all day with all the creature comforts and an expectation they will always have them to some degree? They have less children in trade for better income, investment, and comfort. Industrial nations have been tracking this for decades.
# And you dance and drink and screw. Because there's nothing else to do.
Lots of things are fun.
Doesnt make them any less irresponsible.
The well off, well educated city dwelling portion of the Indian population is approaching similar standards to the West, couples have maybe 1 or 2 children, women have more freedom to refuse, while the cost of raising a child to have a better life than they had is still low enough.
The poorer segments are gradually getting there, but it takes time.
I hope that the case isn't that you're not actually curious and are trying to imply that the population needs to be made to decline by force.
But, but—it's not summer in the Nothern Hemisphere yet.
People have been working around the hot summer hours in Southern Europe for centuries. Until recent times it was part of the culture.
I've lived in a few places that would get consecutive 40C+ days. Perfectly fine unless the wind is a strong northerly blowing from the interior. The 37C in Brisbane this year was much less bearable due to the higher humidity: 75% rather than 45%.
We must spend trillions of dollars on AI as if we are going to be extinct. Meanwhile, nobody has any money for massively increasing clean energy, which is possible now, just deploy solar (dirt cheap) everywhere, use EVs to dump excess production during the day.
Datacenters are subsidized everywhere (just like fossil fuels), and they get the best and first cuts of everything. Google is building a mega DC in Vizag, India, with massive incentives from Govt.